Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 race, reflected in the market's assessment of her as the clear favorite. She secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has maintained modest polling edges in recent surveys, including a five-point advantage in one September poll. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. returned to Congress in late June following a months-long medical absence that limited his visibility and prompted questions about his fitness for the role. Recent campaign developments center on Bennett's attacks tying Kean to continued U.S. involvement in hostilities with Iran, amid rising fuel prices, while Republican groups have sought to portray Bennett as evasive on policy details. The district's narrow partisan lean and history of competitive contests keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,830 Vol.
$21,830 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
83%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
18%
$21,830 Vol.
$21,830 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$6,341 Vol.
83%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$15,489 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 race, reflected in the market's assessment of her as the clear favorite. She secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has maintained modest polling edges in recent surveys, including a five-point advantage in one September poll. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. returned to Congress in late June following a months-long medical absence that limited his visibility and prompted questions about his fitness for the role. Recent campaign developments center on Bennett's attacks tying Kean to continued U.S. involvement in hostilities with Iran, amid rising fuel prices, while Republican groups have sought to portray Bennett as evasive on policy details. The district's narrow partisan lean and history of competitive contests keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle messaging.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$21,830End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 race, reflected in the market's assessment of her as the clear favorite. She secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has maintained modest polling edges in recent surveys, including a five-point advantage in one September poll. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. returned to Congress in late June following a months-long medical absence that limited his visibility and prompted questions about his fitness for the role. Recent campaign developments center on Bennett's attacks tying Kean to continued U.S. involvement in hostilities with Iran, amid rising fuel prices, while Republican groups have sought to portray Bennett as evasive on policy details. The district's narrow partisan lean and history of competitive contests keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle messaging.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,830End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 race, reflected in the market's assessment of her as the clear favorite. She secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has maintained modest polling edges in recent surveys, including a five-point advantage in one September poll. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. returned to Congress in late June following a months-long medical absence that limited his visibility and prompted questions about his fitness for the role. Recent campaign developments center on Bennett's attacks tying Kean to continued U.S. involvement in hostilities with Iran, amid rising fuel prices, while Republican groups have sought to portray Bennett as evasive on policy details. The district's narrow partisan lean and history of competitive contests keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-cycle messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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