NVIDIA’s second-quarter earnings release on August 26 drove the primary catalyst for trader sentiment in the NVDA week-of-August-31 close market. Revenue surged 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, with data-center sales reaching $89 billion, both exceeding consensus, while management guided $108 billion for the current quarter and signaled roughly 70% fiscal-2028 growth. The results reinforced AI demand momentum yet highlighted supply constraints and elevated memory costs that pressured margins. Shares exhibited extreme volatility, surging nearly 9% intraday on August 27 before giving back gains, closing the week at $220.78 amid elevated volume exceeding 500 million shares. Market-implied odds reflected this earnings-driven momentum tempered by post-report profit-taking and broader semiconductor sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3,995 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
$190
Yes
$195
Yes
$200
Yes
$205
Yes
$210
Yes
$215
Yes
$220
Yes
$225
Yes
$230
Yes
$235
No
$240
No
$245
No
$250
No
$3,995 Vol.
$190
$30 Vol.
Yes
$195
$28 Vol.
Yes
$200
$125 Vol.
Yes
$205
$45 Vol.
Yes
$210
$197 Vol.
Yes
$215
$238 Vol.
Yes
$220
$391 Vol.
Yes
$225
$375 Vol.
Yes
$230
$1,914 Vol.
Yes
$235
$25 Vol.
No
$240
$72 Vol.
No
$245
$25 Vol.
No
$250
$530 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA’s second-quarter earnings release on August 26 drove the primary catalyst for trader sentiment in the NVDA week-of-August-31 close market. Revenue surged 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, with data-center sales reaching $89 billion, both exceeding consensus, while management guided $108 billion for the current quarter and signaled roughly 70% fiscal-2028 growth. The results reinforced AI demand momentum yet highlighted supply constraints and elevated memory costs that pressured margins. Shares exhibited extreme volatility, surging nearly 9% intraday on August 27 before giving back gains, closing the week at $220.78 amid elevated volume exceeding 500 million shares. Market-implied odds reflected this earnings-driven momentum tempered by post-report profit-taking and broader semiconductor sector rotation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$3,995End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA’s second-quarter earnings release on August 26 drove the primary catalyst for trader sentiment in the NVDA week-of-August-31 close market. Revenue surged 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, with data-center sales reaching $89 billion, both exceeding consensus, while management guided $108 billion for the current quarter and signaled roughly 70% fiscal-2028 growth. The results reinforced AI demand momentum yet highlighted supply constraints and elevated memory costs that pressured margins. Shares exhibited extreme volatility, surging nearly 9% intraday on August 27 before giving back gains, closing the week at $220.78 amid elevated volume exceeding 500 million shares. Market-implied odds reflected this earnings-driven momentum tempered by post-report profit-taking and broader semiconductor sector rotation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$3,995End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
NVIDIA’s second-quarter earnings release on August 26 drove the primary catalyst for trader sentiment in the NVDA week-of-August-31 close market. Revenue surged 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, with data-center sales reaching $89 billion, both exceeding consensus, while management guided $108 billion for the current quarter and signaled roughly 70% fiscal-2028 growth. The results reinforced AI demand momentum yet highlighted supply constraints and elevated memory costs that pressured margins. Shares exhibited extreme volatility, surging nearly 9% intraday on August 27 before giving back gains, closing the week at $220.78 amid elevated volume exceeding 500 million shares. Market-implied odds reflected this earnings-driven momentum tempered by post-report profit-taking and broader semiconductor sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions