NVIDIA shares closed at $222.27 on September 18, 2026, following robust fiscal Q2 results that showed $96.2 billion in revenue, more than doubling year over year, with data center sales surging 117%. Management guided for $108 billion in Q3 revenue and approximately 70% growth into fiscal 2028, citing supply constraints rather than demand limits amid a multi-trillion-dollar cloud backlog. Analyst consensus targets remain near $325, reflecting strong margin trends and Vera Rubin platform ramp. However, the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $215–$225 for the September 25 close underscores short-term uncertainty driven by recent volatility, broader equity sentiment, and potential profit-taking after the stock’s 21% gain over the prior six months, with no major catalysts scheduled for the immediate week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$220-$225 32%
$215-$220 30%
$225-$230 24%
<$200 21%
<$200
21%
$200-$205
11%
$205-$210
6%
$210-$215
14%
$215-$220
30%
$220-$225
31%
$225-$230
26%
$230-$235
12%
$235-$240
11%
$240-$245
11%
>$245
9%
$220-$225 32%
$215-$220 30%
$225-$230 24%
<$200 21%
<$200
21%
$200-$205
11%
$205-$210
6%
$210-$215
14%
$215-$220
30%
$220-$225
31%
$225-$230
26%
$230-$235
12%
$235-$240
11%
$240-$245
11%
>$245
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA shares closed at $222.27 on September 18, 2026, following robust fiscal Q2 results that showed $96.2 billion in revenue, more than doubling year over year, with data center sales surging 117%. Management guided for $108 billion in Q3 revenue and approximately 70% growth into fiscal 2028, citing supply constraints rather than demand limits amid a multi-trillion-dollar cloud backlog. Analyst consensus targets remain near $325, reflecting strong margin trends and Vera Rubin platform ramp. However, the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $215–$225 for the September 25 close underscores short-term uncertainty driven by recent volatility, broader equity sentiment, and potential profit-taking after the stock’s 21% gain over the prior six months, with no major catalysts scheduled for the immediate week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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