Tom Suozzi’s incumbency and proven performance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district underpin the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. He defeated Mike LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with millions more in cash on hand than his Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s bipartisan record and primary victories for both candidates in June. LiPetri benefits from national Republican support and some union backing but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent in recent House contests. Late shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,616 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,855 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi’s incumbency and proven performance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district underpin the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. He defeated Mike LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with millions more in cash on hand than his Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s bipartisan record and primary victories for both candidates in June. LiPetri benefits from national Republican support and some union backing but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent in recent House contests. Late shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$26,472End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi’s incumbency and proven performance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district underpin the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. He defeated Mike LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with millions more in cash on hand than his Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s bipartisan record and primary victories for both candidates in June. LiPetri benefits from national Republican support and some union backing but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent in recent House contests. Late shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,472End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi’s incumbency and proven performance in the competitive Long Island and Queens district underpin the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. He defeated Mike LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, with millions more in cash on hand than his Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s bipartisan record and primary victories for both candidates in June. LiPetri benefits from national Republican support and some union backing but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent in recent House contests. Late shifts in national conditions, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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