Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in March 2026 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in Texas’s 3rd District, which covers much of Collin County and surrounding suburban areas north and east of Dallas. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently classified the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voter index and voting history. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force officer, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment to alter the outcome, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-03 House Election Winner
TX-03 House Election Winner
$32,617 Vol.
$32,617 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
9%
$32,617 Vol.
$32,617 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,982 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,635 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in March 2026 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in Texas’s 3rd District, which covers much of Collin County and surrounding suburban areas north and east of Dallas. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently classified the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voter index and voting history. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force officer, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment to alter the outcome, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,617End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in March 2026 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in Texas’s 3rd District, which covers much of Collin County and surrounding suburban areas north and east of Dallas. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently classified the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voter index and voting history. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force officer, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment to alter the outcome, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,617End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in March 2026 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in Texas’s 3rd District, which covers much of Collin County and surrounding suburban areas north and east of Dallas. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently classified the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its partisan voter index and voting history. Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force officer, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment to alter the outcome, consistent with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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