Poor critical reception and a dismal “C” CinemaScore for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror “Onslaught,” released September 4 on a modest $15 million budget, have anchored trader expectations for a subdued domestic opening. Mixed reviews hovering near 55% on Rotten Tomatoes, combined with the director’s return to indie roots after blockbuster Godzilla entries, have tempered buzz and highlighted the film’s niche appeal amid a soft Labor Day frame. The near-even split between sub-$2 million and $2–3 million brackets reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can push the gross toward the higher end of early $2.5 million four-day tracking or settle lower given audience resistance. Limited presales data and competition from stronger holdovers further compress probabilities for anything above $3 million, underscoring how reception metrics often dictate early box-office trajectories for mid-tier genre releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2m 52%
2-3m 32%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$17,309 Vol.
$17,309 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
59%
2-3m
39%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
<2m 52%
2-3m 32%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$17,309 Vol.
$17,309 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
$4,722 Vol.
59%
2-3m
$4,809 Vol.
39%
3-4m
$3,556 Vol.
1%
4-5m
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
5-6m
$1,444 Vol.
<1%
6m+
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor critical reception and a dismal “C” CinemaScore for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror “Onslaught,” released September 4 on a modest $15 million budget, have anchored trader expectations for a subdued domestic opening. Mixed reviews hovering near 55% on Rotten Tomatoes, combined with the director’s return to indie roots after blockbuster Godzilla entries, have tempered buzz and highlighted the film’s niche appeal amid a soft Labor Day frame. The near-even split between sub-$2 million and $2–3 million brackets reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can push the gross toward the higher end of early $2.5 million four-day tracking or settle lower given audience resistance. Limited presales data and competition from stronger holdovers further compress probabilities for anything above $3 million, underscoring how reception metrics often dictate early box-office trajectories for mid-tier genre releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$17,309End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor critical reception and a dismal “C” CinemaScore for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror “Onslaught,” released September 4 on a modest $15 million budget, have anchored trader expectations for a subdued domestic opening. Mixed reviews hovering near 55% on Rotten Tomatoes, combined with the director’s return to indie roots after blockbuster Godzilla entries, have tempered buzz and highlighted the film’s niche appeal amid a soft Labor Day frame. The near-even split between sub-$2 million and $2–3 million brackets reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can push the gross toward the higher end of early $2.5 million four-day tracking or settle lower given audience resistance. Limited presales data and competition from stronger holdovers further compress probabilities for anything above $3 million, underscoring how reception metrics often dictate early box-office trajectories for mid-tier genre releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,309End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Poor critical reception and a dismal “C” CinemaScore for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror “Onslaught,” released September 4 on a modest $15 million budget, have anchored trader expectations for a subdued domestic opening. Mixed reviews hovering near 55% on Rotten Tomatoes, combined with the director’s return to indie roots after blockbuster Godzilla entries, have tempered buzz and highlighted the film’s niche appeal amid a soft Labor Day frame. The near-even split between sub-$2 million and $2–3 million brackets reflects uncertainty over whether word-of-mouth can push the gross toward the higher end of early $2.5 million four-day tracking or settle lower given audience resistance. Limited presales data and competition from stronger holdovers further compress probabilities for anything above $3 million, underscoring how reception metrics often dictate early box-office trajectories for mid-tier genre releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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