As of September 21, Central Park observations show 2.19 inches of precipitation month-to-date against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.85 inches, leaving nine days to reach the seasonal average of 4.3 inches. Persistent northeasterly flow has suppressed convective activity and delivered only light, intermittent rain, with NWS forecasts indicating modest quantitative precipitation amounts (0.05–0.10 inches per event) and 30–50 percent chances mainly midweek. This dry pattern supports trader emphasis on the 2–3 inch bin as the mode, while model consensus on limited additional accumulation keeps probabilities for totals above 4 inches comparatively low. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on whether any coastal disturbance or frontal wave can produce heavier, organized rainfall before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
2-3" 37%
3-4" 26%
4-5" 23%
>6" 9%
$27,070 Vol.
$27,070 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
1%
2-3"
37%
3-4"
26%
4-5"
23%
5-6"
6%
>6"
9%
2-3" 37%
3-4" 26%
4-5" 23%
>6" 9%
$27,070 Vol.
$27,070 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$3,522 Vol.
1%
2-3"
$6,789 Vol.
37%
3-4"
$3,736 Vol.
26%
4-5"
$4,730 Vol.
23%
5-6"
$2,453 Vol.
6%
>6"
$6,040 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of September 21, Central Park observations show 2.19 inches of precipitation month-to-date against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.85 inches, leaving nine days to reach the seasonal average of 4.3 inches. Persistent northeasterly flow has suppressed convective activity and delivered only light, intermittent rain, with NWS forecasts indicating modest quantitative precipitation amounts (0.05–0.10 inches per event) and 30–50 percent chances mainly midweek. This dry pattern supports trader emphasis on the 2–3 inch bin as the mode, while model consensus on limited additional accumulation keeps probabilities for totals above 4 inches comparatively low. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on whether any coastal disturbance or frontal wave can produce heavier, organized rainfall before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$27,070End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of September 21, Central Park observations show 2.19 inches of precipitation month-to-date against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.85 inches, leaving nine days to reach the seasonal average of 4.3 inches. Persistent northeasterly flow has suppressed convective activity and delivered only light, intermittent rain, with NWS forecasts indicating modest quantitative precipitation amounts (0.05–0.10 inches per event) and 30–50 percent chances mainly midweek. This dry pattern supports trader emphasis on the 2–3 inch bin as the mode, while model consensus on limited additional accumulation keeps probabilities for totals above 4 inches comparatively low. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on whether any coastal disturbance or frontal wave can produce heavier, organized rainfall before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,070End Date
Oct 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of September 21, Central Park observations show 2.19 inches of precipitation month-to-date against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.85 inches, leaving nine days to reach the seasonal average of 4.3 inches. Persistent northeasterly flow has suppressed convective activity and delivered only light, intermittent rain, with NWS forecasts indicating modest quantitative precipitation amounts (0.05–0.10 inches per event) and 30–50 percent chances mainly midweek. This dry pattern supports trader emphasis on the 2–3 inch bin as the mode, while model consensus on limited additional accumulation keeps probabilities for totals above 4 inches comparatively low. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on whether any coastal disturbance or frontal wave can produce heavier, organized rainfall before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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