Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
$12,608 Vol.
$12,608 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Celeste Maloy (R)
$10,176 Vol.
95%
Kent Udell (D)
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$12,608End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,608End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District by defeating challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 35 points in the June 2026 primary, aided by substantial fundraising, outside spending from aligned PACs, and endorsements including from former President Trump. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI around R+21 and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and congressional voting, underpins trader consensus on her general-election prospects against Democrat Kent Udell. Udell, a retired engineering professor running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district redrawn through recent litigation and redistricting. With the November general election still weeks away, late developments such as unforeseen scandals or shifts in national conditions remain the primary variables that could alter current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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