**Ongoing Middle East conflict has reshaped the 2026 F1 calendar, driving uncertainty around several host countries.** Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix were cancelled earlier in the year, while the Bahrain race was relocated to Malaysia’s Sepang circuit for an October 4 event—Malaysia’s first appearance since 2017. Spain hosts two rounds (Barcelona-Catalunya in June and the new Madring street circuit in Madrid for the September Spanish GP), with Imola dropped after 2025. The season otherwise follows a largely familiar lineup across Australia, China, Japan, the United States (Miami, Austin, Las Vegas), Canada, Monaco, Austria, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Hungary, the Netherlands, Italy, Azerbaijan, Singapore, Mexico, and Brazil. Qatar and Abu Dhabi remain on the provisional schedule but face potential cancellation or relocation to European venues such as Imola if regional tensions persist; F1 has set a mid-September decision deadline. These geopolitical and logistical factors dominate trader focus on which nations ultimately appear on the final 23- or 24-race calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Saudi Arabia
50%

UAE
50%

Qatar
46%
$5 Vol.

Saudi Arabia
50%

UAE
50%

Qatar
46%
For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/resultsResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/resultsResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing Middle East conflict has reshaped the 2026 F1 calendar, driving uncertainty around several host countries.** Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix were cancelled earlier in the year, while the Bahrain race was relocated to Malaysia’s Sepang circuit for an October 4 event—Malaysia’s first appearance since 2017. Spain hosts two rounds (Barcelona-Catalunya in June and the new Madring street circuit in Madrid for the September Spanish GP), with Imola dropped after 2025. The season otherwise follows a largely familiar lineup across Australia, China, Japan, the United States (Miami, Austin, Las Vegas), Canada, Monaco, Austria, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Hungary, the Netherlands, Italy, Azerbaijan, Singapore, Mexico, and Brazil. Qatar and Abu Dhabi remain on the provisional schedule but face potential cancellation or relocation to European venues such as Imola if regional tensions persist; F1 has set a mid-September decision deadline. These geopolitical and logistical factors dominate trader focus on which nations ultimately appear on the final 23- or 24-race calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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