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Finance·Big Tech

Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)

icon for Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)
Finance·Big Tech

Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)

déc. 31, 2027

inférieures

du milieu

déc. 31, 2027

inférieures

du milieu

1.8T+ 85%

1.5–1.8T 10.9%

No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.8%

1.2–1.5T 2.1%

Polymarket

$379,351 Vol.

1.8T+ 85%

1.5–1.8T 10.9%

No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.8%

1.2–1.5T 2.1%

Polymarket

$379,351 Vol.

<0.6T

$20,447 Vol.

1%

0.6–0.9T

$25,738 Vol.

1%

0.9–1.2T

$25,513 Vol.

1%

1.2–1.5T

$33,628 Vol.

2%

1.5–1.8T

$42,048 Vol.

11%

1.8T+

$181,468 Vol.

85%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$50,508 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus around a near-term Anthropic IPO at $1.5–2 trillion+ valuation reflects the company’s exceptional revenue trajectory and AI market momentum as of late August 2026.** Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after closing a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation. Its annualized revenue run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, driven by demand for Claude models—particularly advanced coding and agentic capabilities in Opus 4.8 and related releases. The company projects $100–120 billion annualized revenue by year-end 2026 and $190–200 billion by 2028, supported by major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others. Bankers have discussed a potential $86–100+ billion raise targeting a $1.5–2 trillion valuation at a Nasdaq listing expected in late September or early October 2026, with the public prospectus slated after Labor Day. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in both private valuation and IPO timeline, fueling the 84.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. The tiny probabilities on lower brackets or a delayed/no IPO by end-2027 capture residual risks around execution, market conditions, or regulatory scrutiny, but current verified momentum and investor appetite strongly favor a blockbuster debut.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$379,351
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus around a near-term Anthropic IPO at $1.5–2 trillion+ valuation reflects the company’s exceptional revenue trajectory and AI market momentum as of late August 2026.** Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after closing a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation. Its annualized revenue run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion by May and $65 billion by July 2026, driven by demand for Claude models—particularly advanced coding and agentic capabilities in Opus 4.8 and related releases. The company projects $100–120 billion annualized revenue by year-end 2026 and $190–200 billion by 2028, supported by major compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others. Bankers have discussed a potential $86–100+ billion raise targeting a $1.5–2 trillion valuation at a Nasdaq listing expected in late September or early October 2026, with the public prospectus slated after Labor Day. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in both private valuation and IPO timeline, fueling the 84.5% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. The tiny probabilities on lower brackets or a delayed/no IPO by end-2027 capture residual risks around execution, market conditions, or regulatory scrutiny, but current verified momentum and investor appetite strongly favor a blockbuster debut.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$379,351
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Connexes

icon for La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

21%
icon for Capitalisation boursière de clôture supérieure à 1,5 T$ pour l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic ?

Capitalisation boursière de clôture supérieure à 1,5 T$ pour l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic ?

94%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1.8T+ » à 85%, suivi de « 1.5–1.8T » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 85¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » a généré $379.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 30, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » est « 1.8T+ » à 85%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1.5–1.8T » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.