Trader consensus strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for Anthropic’s IPO, with an 82.5% implied probability driven by the company’s Silicon Valley roots, major tech underwriters including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and consistent reporting targeting that exchange for its October 2026 window. Recent September 2026 updates show a modest delay to late-September prospectus filing and mid-October marketing amid finalization of a $15 billion credit facility, yet these shifts have not altered exchange expectations. NYSE remains a distant 3% outcome, as most high-growth AI firms avoid it in favor of NASDAQ’s tech ecosystem and liquidity profile. The 16% “Other” share reflects residual uncertainty around potential delays or non-traditional structures rather than credible alternatives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNASDAQ 72%
Autre 31%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Autre
17%
NASDAQ 72%
Autre 31%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Autre
17%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for Anthropic’s IPO, with an 82.5% implied probability driven by the company’s Silicon Valley roots, major tech underwriters including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and consistent reporting targeting that exchange for its October 2026 window. Recent September 2026 updates show a modest delay to late-September prospectus filing and mid-October marketing amid finalization of a $15 billion credit facility, yet these shifts have not altered exchange expectations. NYSE remains a distant 3% outcome, as most high-growth AI firms avoid it in favor of NASDAQ’s tech ecosystem and liquidity profile. The 16% “Other” share reflects residual uncertainty around potential delays or non-traditional structures rather than credible alternatives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes