Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by its 20-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and repeated double-digit victories by retiring incumbent Andy Biggs. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with nearly 59 percent of the vote, aided by a Trump endorsement, despite prior allegations of misconduct that he denied. Elizabeth Lee captured the Democratic primary with about 65 percent but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies to alter the outcome, though the district's East Valley and Pinal County composition has historically favored strong Republican performance in midterm cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,862 Vol.
$36,862 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
9%
$36,862 Vol.
$36,862 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
$20,864 Vol.
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
$15,998 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by its 20-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and repeated double-digit victories by retiring incumbent Andy Biggs. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with nearly 59 percent of the vote, aided by a Trump endorsement, despite prior allegations of misconduct that he denied. Elizabeth Lee captured the Democratic primary with about 65 percent but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies to alter the outcome, though the district's East Valley and Pinal County composition has historically favored strong Republican performance in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$36,862Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by its 20-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and repeated double-digit victories by retiring incumbent Andy Biggs. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with nearly 59 percent of the vote, aided by a Trump endorsement, despite prior allegations of misconduct that he denied. Elizabeth Lee captured the Democratic primary with about 65 percent but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies to alter the outcome, though the district's East Valley and Pinal County composition has historically favored strong Republican performance in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,862Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by its 20-point margin for President Trump in 2024 and repeated double-digit victories by retiring incumbent Andy Biggs. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with nearly 59 percent of the vote, aided by a Trump endorsement, despite prior allegations of misconduct that he denied. Elizabeth Lee captured the Democratic primary with about 65 percent but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies to alter the outcome, though the district's East Valley and Pinal County composition has historically favored strong Republican performance in midterm cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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