California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results exceeding 80 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's voter registration patterns and absence of viable Republican contenders. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting both Democratic candidates or a collapse in turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-11
$21,773 Vol.
$21,773 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
98%
Parti républicain
1%
$21,773 Vol.
$21,773 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,980 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$6,793 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results exceeding 80 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's voter registration patterns and absence of viable Republican contenders. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting both Democratic candidates or a collapse in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,773Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results exceeding 80 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's voter registration patterns and absence of viable Republican contenders. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting both Democratic candidates or a collapse in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,773Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+36 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results exceeding 80 percent for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district's voter registration patterns and absence of viable Republican contenders. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting both Democratic candidates or a collapse in turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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