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icon for Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place

Capitão Wagner 36%

Luizianne 34%

Cid Gomes 22%

Alcides Fernandes 2.9%

Polymarket

$36,524 Vol.

Capitão Wagner 36%

Luizianne 34%

Cid Gomes 22%

Alcides Fernandes 2.9%

Polymarket

$36,524 Vol.

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$14,348 Vol.

36%

icon for Luizianne

Luizianne

$11,623 Vol.

30%

icon for Cid Gomes

Cid Gomes

$4,910 Vol.

22%

icon for Alcides Fernandes

Alcides Fernandes

$1,100 Vol.

3%

icon for Lino Alves

Lino Alves

$942 Vol.

1%

icon for Guilherme Theophilo

Guilherme Theophilo

$825 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catarina Matos

Catarina Matos

$1,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reginaldo

Reginaldo

$1,234 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). High shares of undecided voters (around 10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes sustain narrow gaps across Ipsos-Ipec, Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel surveys. Luizianne's alignment with the state government ticket has consolidated left-leaning support in some scenarios, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. These factors, combined with limited recent alliance shifts ahead of the October 4 election, keep trader consensus closely balanced on the second-place outcome.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,524
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). High shares of undecided voters (around 10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes sustain narrow gaps across Ipsos-Ipec, Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel surveys. Luizianne's alignment with the state government ticket has consolidated left-leaning support in some scenarios, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. These factors, combined with limited recent alliance shifts ahead of the October 4 election, keep trader consensus closely balanced on the second-place outcome.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,524
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Cid Gomes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

Cid Gomes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

77%
Oui
icon for André do Prado obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

André do Prado obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

45%
Oui
icon for Humberto Costa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pernambuco en 2026 ?

Humberto Costa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pernambuco en 2026 ?

43%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Capitão Wagner » à 36%, suivi de « Luizianne » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place » a généré $36.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place » est « Capitão Wagner » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Luizianne » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.