Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary by a 53.5%–34.7% margin, positioning him as the heavy favorite in the solidly Democratic seat. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Republican Amy Chai advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district centered on Hartford. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp shift in national conditions could still alter the outcome, though recent cycles show limited volatility in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,721 Vol.
$11,721 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
96%
Amy Chai (R)
4%
$11,721 Vol.
$11,721 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
$2,926 Vol.
96%
Amy Chai (R)
$8,795 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary by a 53.5%–34.7% margin, positioning him as the heavy favorite in the solidly Democratic seat. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Republican Amy Chai advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district centered on Hartford. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp shift in national conditions could still alter the outcome, though recent cycles show limited volatility in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,721Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary by a 53.5%–34.7% margin, positioning him as the heavy favorite in the solidly Democratic seat. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Republican Amy Chai advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district centered on Hartford. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp shift in national conditions could still alter the outcome, though recent cycles show limited volatility in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,721Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary by a 53.5%–34.7% margin, positioning him as the heavy favorite in the solidly Democratic seat. The district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Republican Amy Chai advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district centered on Hartford. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp shift in national conditions could still alter the outcome, though recent cycles show limited volatility in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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