Kathy Castor holds a lead in the FL-14 general election matchup due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, and early polling that showed her ahead of Republican nominee Mike Beltran by 46% to 38% in July. Florida’s 2026 redistricting, signed into law in May, shifted the district boundaries entirely within the county and aimed to improve Republican prospects, prompting a crowded GOP primary that Beltran won on August 18 with 45.6% of the vote. National Republican committees have elevated Beltran as a top recruit, yet mixed race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect uncertainty over whether the map changes will overcome Castor’s established voter base before the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-14
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-14
$42,515 Vol.
$42,515 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
36%
$42,515 Vol.
$42,515 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$22,383 Vol.
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,132 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds a lead in the FL-14 general election matchup due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, and early polling that showed her ahead of Republican nominee Mike Beltran by 46% to 38% in July. Florida’s 2026 redistricting, signed into law in May, shifted the district boundaries entirely within the county and aimed to improve Republican prospects, prompting a crowded GOP primary that Beltran won on August 18 with 45.6% of the vote. National Republican committees have elevated Beltran as a top recruit, yet mixed race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect uncertainty over whether the map changes will overcome Castor’s established voter base before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$42,515Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds a lead in the FL-14 general election matchup due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, and early polling that showed her ahead of Republican nominee Mike Beltran by 46% to 38% in July. Florida’s 2026 redistricting, signed into law in May, shifted the district boundaries entirely within the county and aimed to improve Republican prospects, prompting a crowded GOP primary that Beltran won on August 18 with 45.6% of the vote. National Republican committees have elevated Beltran as a top recruit, yet mixed race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect uncertainty over whether the map changes will overcome Castor’s established voter base before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,515Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor holds a lead in the FL-14 general election matchup due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, and early polling that showed her ahead of Republican nominee Mike Beltran by 46% to 38% in July. Florida’s 2026 redistricting, signed into law in May, shifted the district boundaries entirely within the county and aimed to improve Republican prospects, prompting a crowded GOP primary that Beltran won on August 18 with 45.6% of the vote. National Republican committees have elevated Beltran as a top recruit, yet mixed race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect uncertainty over whether the map changes will overcome Castor’s established voter base before the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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