Florida's 24th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic stronghold encompassing majority-minority communities across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement in May 2026, opening the seat. Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with Wilson's endorsement, prevailing narrowly over state Sen. Shevrin Jones in a crowded field. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after her primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders view Gilbert's position as commanding due to structural advantages in voter registration and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this open-seat contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du FL-24 House Election
Vainqueur du FL-24 House Election
$34,000 Vol.
$34,000 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
2%
$34,000 Vol.
$34,000 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
$17,885 Vol.
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
$16,115 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic stronghold encompassing majority-minority communities across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement in May 2026, opening the seat. Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with Wilson's endorsement, prevailing narrowly over state Sen. Shevrin Jones in a crowded field. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after her primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders view Gilbert's position as commanding due to structural advantages in voter registration and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$34,000Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic stronghold encompassing majority-minority communities across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement in May 2026, opening the seat. Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with Wilson's endorsement, prevailing narrowly over state Sen. Shevrin Jones in a crowded field. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after her primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders view Gilbert's position as commanding due to structural advantages in voter registration and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,000Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic stronghold encompassing majority-minority communities across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement in May 2026, opening the seat. Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with Wilson's endorsement, prevailing narrowly over state Sen. Shevrin Jones in a crowded field. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after her primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent partisan performance in prior cycles. With the general election on November 3, 2026, traders view Gilbert's position as commanding due to structural advantages in voter registration and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this open-seat contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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