Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes parts of the Keys and southern suburbs, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in the district’s Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Giménez won reelection in 2024 by nearly 30 points over the same Democratic opponent, Phil Ehr, and both candidates advanced unopposed after their respective primaries were canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the post-redistricting map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, including superior fundraising and institutional support. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
$33,834 Vol.
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes parts of the Keys and southern suburbs, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in the district’s Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Giménez won reelection in 2024 by nearly 30 points over the same Democratic opponent, Phil Ehr, and both candidates advanced unopposed after their respective primaries were canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the post-redistricting map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, including superior fundraising and institutional support. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,564Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes parts of the Keys and southern suburbs, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in the district’s Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Giménez won reelection in 2024 by nearly 30 points over the same Democratic opponent, Phil Ehr, and both candidates advanced unopposed after their respective primaries were canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the post-redistricting map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, including superior fundraising and institutional support. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,564Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes parts of the Keys and southern suburbs, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in the district’s Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there. Giménez won reelection in 2024 by nearly 30 points over the same Democratic opponent, Phil Ehr, and both candidates advanced unopposed after their respective primaries were canceled. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the post-redistricting map that strengthens GOP advantages statewide. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Giménez aligns with these fundamentals, including superior fundraising and institutional support. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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