Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs that delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns, Jackson's incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus around 96 percent for Jackson aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such shifts rarely overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
IL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison
$54,773 Vol.
$54,773 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
4%
$54,773 Vol.
$54,773 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,079 Vol.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs that delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns, Jackson's incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus around 96 percent for Jackson aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such shifts rarely overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$54,773Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs that delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns, Jackson's incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus around 96 percent for Jackson aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such shifts rarely overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,773Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, encompassing Chicago's South Side and surrounding suburbs that delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Jackson secured reelection in 2024 with 65.8 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns, Jackson's incumbency advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus around 96 percent for Jackson aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical data shows such shifts rarely overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes