Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
96%
Parti démocrate
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Parti démocrate
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$52,223Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,223Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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