**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first-ever impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced to a May 19, 2026, floor vote but received only 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required among 113 legislators to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that makes passage improbable without major shifts in legislative composition or alliances. Additional constitutional hurdles include a two-thirds approval by sitting Constitutional Court justices amid existing quorum disputes. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May vote failed, and recent developments center on routine governance, defense drills, and cross-strait policy rather than renewed removal efforts. Trader sentiment reflects these institutional thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts capable of altering the balance before any potential resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,359,010 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
31 décembre
$315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first-ever impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced to a May 19, 2026, floor vote but received only 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required among 113 legislators to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that makes passage improbable without major shifts in legislative composition or alliances. Additional constitutional hurdles include a two-thirds approval by sitting Constitutional Court justices amid existing quorum disputes. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May vote failed, and recent developments center on routine governance, defense drills, and cross-strait policy rather than renewed removal efforts. Trader sentiment reflects these institutional thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts capable of altering the balance before any potential resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,359,010Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first-ever impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced to a May 19, 2026, floor vote but received only 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required among 113 legislators to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that makes passage improbable without major shifts in legislative composition or alliances. Additional constitutional hurdles include a two-thirds approval by sitting Constitutional Court justices amid existing quorum disputes. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May vote failed, and recent developments center on routine governance, defense drills, and cross-strait policy rather than renewed removal efforts. Trader sentiment reflects these institutional thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts capable of altering the balance before any potential resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,359,010Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first-ever impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign a revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced to a May 19, 2026, floor vote but received only 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required among 113 legislators to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that makes passage improbable without major shifts in legislative composition or alliances. Additional constitutional hurdles include a two-thirds approval by sitting Constitutional Court justices amid existing quorum disputes. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May vote failed, and recent developments center on routine governance, defense drills, and cross-strait policy rather than renewed removal efforts. Trader sentiment reflects these institutional thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts capable of altering the balance before any potential resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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