Lori Trahan's commanding position in the Massachusetts 3rd Congressional District race reflects the seat's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+11, combined with her status as a four-term incumbent who advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary. The district, encompassing areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel who also faced no primary opposition, has reported limited fundraising, limiting visibility ahead of the November 3 general election that also includes an independent candidate. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Trahan aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$23,318 Vol.
$23,318 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Lori Trahan (D)
97%
Gary Grossi (R)
2%
$23,318 Vol.
$23,318 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Lori Trahan (D)
$11,843 Vol.
97%
Gary Grossi (R)
$11,475 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's commanding position in the Massachusetts 3rd Congressional District race reflects the seat's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+11, combined with her status as a four-term incumbent who advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary. The district, encompassing areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel who also faced no primary opposition, has reported limited fundraising, limiting visibility ahead of the November 3 general election that also includes an independent candidate. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Trahan aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,318Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's commanding position in the Massachusetts 3rd Congressional District race reflects the seat's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+11, combined with her status as a four-term incumbent who advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary. The district, encompassing areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel who also faced no primary opposition, has reported limited fundraising, limiting visibility ahead of the November 3 general election that also includes an independent candidate. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Trahan aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,318Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Lori Trahan's commanding position in the Massachusetts 3rd Congressional District race reflects the seat's consistent Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+11, combined with her status as a four-term incumbent who advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary. The district, encompassing areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel who also faced no primary opposition, has reported limited fundraising, limiting visibility ahead of the November 3 general election that also includes an independent candidate. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Trahan aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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