Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her 2024 victory margin of 58.4 percent, and strong fundraising that reached roughly $1.4 million by mid-2026. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Twin Cities profile and historical voting patterns. Tyler Bass secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Morrison aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major recent shifts. Late developments such as national economic changes, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,990 Vol.
$24,990 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
5%
$24,990 Vol.
$24,990 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 Vol.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$12,563 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her 2024 victory margin of 58.4 percent, and strong fundraising that reached roughly $1.4 million by mid-2026. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Twin Cities profile and historical voting patterns. Tyler Bass secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Morrison aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major recent shifts. Late developments such as national economic changes, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,990Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her 2024 victory margin of 58.4 percent, and strong fundraising that reached roughly $1.4 million by mid-2026. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Twin Cities profile and historical voting patterns. Tyler Bass secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Morrison aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major recent shifts. Late developments such as national economic changes, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,990Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her 2024 victory margin of 58.4 percent, and strong fundraising that reached roughly $1.4 million by mid-2026. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Twin Cities profile and historical voting patterns. Tyler Bass secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Morrison aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major recent shifts. Late developments such as national economic changes, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout swings could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes