Tom Emmer's commanding position in the MN-06 race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent presidential voting there. As the six-term incumbent and current House Majority Whip, Emmer secured a decisive 80.9% in the August Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional support. Doug Chapin, the unopposed Democratic nominee and a college professor, faces structural barriers in a seat that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican across multiple outlets. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy affecting Emmer, or unusually elevated turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given baseline fundamentals and polling history in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$42,803 Vol.
$42,803 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
9%
$42,803 Vol.
$42,803 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,800 Vol.
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
$19,003 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer's commanding position in the MN-06 race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent presidential voting there. As the six-term incumbent and current House Majority Whip, Emmer secured a decisive 80.9% in the August Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional support. Doug Chapin, the unopposed Democratic nominee and a college professor, faces structural barriers in a seat that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican across multiple outlets. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy affecting Emmer, or unusually elevated turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given baseline fundamentals and polling history in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,803Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer's commanding position in the MN-06 race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent presidential voting there. As the six-term incumbent and current House Majority Whip, Emmer secured a decisive 80.9% in the August Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional support. Doug Chapin, the unopposed Democratic nominee and a college professor, faces structural barriers in a seat that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican across multiple outlets. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy affecting Emmer, or unusually elevated turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given baseline fundamentals and polling history in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,803Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer's commanding position in the MN-06 race stems from the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's double-digit margins in recent presidential voting there. As the six-term incumbent and current House Majority Whip, Emmer secured a decisive 80.9% in the August Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional support. Doug Chapin, the unopposed Democratic nominee and a college professor, faces structural barriers in a seat that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican across multiple outlets. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking controversy affecting Emmer, or unusually elevated turnout in suburban areas could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given baseline fundamentals and polling history in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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