Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen and Sussex counties, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4.7 million compared to Republican Sean Kirrane's under $60,000, and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, leaving limited time for Kirrane to build name recognition or momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. A third-party candidate, Adam Rueda, appears on the ballot but shows negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still shift the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$28,947 Vol.
$28,947 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
2%
$28,947 Vol.
$28,947 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$20,058 Vol.
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
$8,889 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen and Sussex counties, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4.7 million compared to Republican Sean Kirrane's under $60,000, and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, leaving limited time for Kirrane to build name recognition or momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. A third-party candidate, Adam Rueda, appears on the ballot but shows negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still shift the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$28,947Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen and Sussex counties, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4.7 million compared to Republican Sean Kirrane's under $60,000, and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, leaving limited time for Kirrane to build name recognition or momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. A third-party candidate, Adam Rueda, appears on the ballot but shows negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still shift the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,947Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen and Sussex counties, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4.7 million compared to Republican Sean Kirrane's under $60,000, and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, leaving limited time for Kirrane to build name recognition or momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. A third-party candidate, Adam Rueda, appears on the ballot but shows negligible support. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could still shift the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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