Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a commanding position in Nevada's 4th Congressional District race, backed by his unopposed June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and the district's D+2 Partisan Voter Index. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Horsford's 2024 margin and the area's North Las Vegas and rural voter base. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party's nomination with 61.8% in the June primary, faces structural hurdles in a district where Democratic performance has held steady despite national shifts. Trader consensus at over 90% for Horsford aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late-cycle turnout surges, economic messaging, or unexpected national developments in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
91%
Cody Whipple (R)
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
$4,601 Vol.
91%
Cody Whipple (R)
$5,305 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a commanding position in Nevada's 4th Congressional District race, backed by his unopposed June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and the district's D+2 Partisan Voter Index. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Horsford's 2024 margin and the area's North Las Vegas and rural voter base. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party's nomination with 61.8% in the June primary, faces structural hurdles in a district where Democratic performance has held steady despite national shifts. Trader consensus at over 90% for Horsford aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late-cycle turnout surges, economic messaging, or unexpected national developments in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$9,906Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a commanding position in Nevada's 4th Congressional District race, backed by his unopposed June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and the district's D+2 Partisan Voter Index. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Horsford's 2024 margin and the area's North Las Vegas and rural voter base. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party's nomination with 61.8% in the June primary, faces structural hurdles in a district where Democratic performance has held steady despite national shifts. Trader consensus at over 90% for Horsford aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late-cycle turnout surges, economic messaging, or unexpected national developments in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,906Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a commanding position in Nevada's 4th Congressional District race, backed by his unopposed June primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and the district's D+2 Partisan Voter Index. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Horsford's 2024 margin and the area's North Las Vegas and rural voter base. Republican nominee Cody Whipple, who secured his party's nomination with 61.8% in the June primary, faces structural hurdles in a district where Democratic performance has held steady despite national shifts. Trader consensus at over 90% for Horsford aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late-cycle turnout surges, economic messaging, or unexpected national developments in the remaining weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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