Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the OH-15 race due to the district’s R+5 partisan lean and his strong fundraising advantage of over $3.3 million compared to Democratic challenger Don Leonard’s roughly $607,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent internal polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, with a Libertarian candidate also on the ballot. Primary results confirmed both nominees in May, and no major new developments have shifted the race outlook in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors while acknowledging the potential for national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
$15,582 Vol.
$15,582 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Carey (R)
76%
Don Leonard (D)
24%
$15,582 Vol.
$15,582 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$5,041 Vol.
76%
Don Leonard (D)
$10,541 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the OH-15 race due to the district’s R+5 partisan lean and his strong fundraising advantage of over $3.3 million compared to Democratic challenger Don Leonard’s roughly $607,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent internal polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, with a Libertarian candidate also on the ballot. Primary results confirmed both nominees in May, and no major new developments have shifted the race outlook in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors while acknowledging the potential for national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,582Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the OH-15 race due to the district’s R+5 partisan lean and his strong fundraising advantage of over $3.3 million compared to Democratic challenger Don Leonard’s roughly $607,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent internal polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, with a Libertarian candidate also on the ballot. Primary results confirmed both nominees in May, and no major new developments have shifted the race outlook in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors while acknowledging the potential for national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,582Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in the OH-15 race due to the district’s R+5 partisan lean and his strong fundraising advantage of over $3.3 million compared to Democratic challenger Don Leonard’s roughly $607,000. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent internal polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, with a Libertarian candidate also on the ballot. Primary results confirmed both nominees in May, and no major new developments have shifted the race outlook in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors while acknowledging the potential for national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes