Val Hoyle maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race due to her incumbency, the district’s Democratic leanings across Eugene, Corvallis, and the central coast, and her 2024 victory margin of roughly eight points over the same Republican opponent. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following Hoyle’s decisive primary win and consistent fundraising edge, with the seat viewed as non-competitive despite Monique DeSpain’s active campaign and one strong fundraising quarter. Trader consensus reflects the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November general election. Late surprises such as scandals or major turnout changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$22,629 Vol.
$22,629 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
6%
$22,629 Vol.
$22,629 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Val Hoyle (D)
$15,508 Vol.
94%
Monique DeSpain (R)
$7,121 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Val Hoyle maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race due to her incumbency, the district’s Democratic leanings across Eugene, Corvallis, and the central coast, and her 2024 victory margin of roughly eight points over the same Republican opponent. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following Hoyle’s decisive primary win and consistent fundraising edge, with the seat viewed as non-competitive despite Monique DeSpain’s active campaign and one strong fundraising quarter. Trader consensus reflects the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November general election. Late surprises such as scandals or major turnout changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$22,629Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Val Hoyle maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race due to her incumbency, the district’s Democratic leanings across Eugene, Corvallis, and the central coast, and her 2024 victory margin of roughly eight points over the same Republican opponent. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following Hoyle’s decisive primary win and consistent fundraising edge, with the seat viewed as non-competitive despite Monique DeSpain’s active campaign and one strong fundraising quarter. Trader consensus reflects the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November general election. Late surprises such as scandals or major turnout changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,629Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Val Hoyle maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District race due to her incumbency, the district’s Democratic leanings across Eugene, Corvallis, and the central coast, and her 2024 victory margin of roughly eight points over the same Republican opponent. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following Hoyle’s decisive primary win and consistent fundraising edge, with the seat viewed as non-competitive despite Monique DeSpain’s active campaign and one strong fundraising quarter. Trader consensus reflects the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November general election. Late surprises such as scandals or major turnout changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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