Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek holds a strong trader consensus edge in the 2026 Oregon governor race due to the state’s long Democratic voting patterns and her primary win with over 80% support. Recent September polling shows the contest tightening, with one survey giving Republican Christine Drazan a narrow 45-43% lead within the margin of error amid 59% disapproval of Kotek’s job performance and voter concerns over affordability, education, and homelessness. Kotek has emphasized ties between Drazan and national Republican figures while Drazan highlights state-level challenges. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though some view it as competitive heading into October debates and the November 3 election. Market pricing appears to weigh structural Democratic advantages more heavily than the latest survey movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Oregon
Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Oregon
$47,691 Vol.
$47,691 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
86%
Christine Drazan (R)
15%
$47,691 Vol.
$47,691 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tina Kotek (D)
$26,111 Vol.
86%
Christine Drazan (R)
$21,580 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek holds a strong trader consensus edge in the 2026 Oregon governor race due to the state’s long Democratic voting patterns and her primary win with over 80% support. Recent September polling shows the contest tightening, with one survey giving Republican Christine Drazan a narrow 45-43% lead within the margin of error amid 59% disapproval of Kotek’s job performance and voter concerns over affordability, education, and homelessness. Kotek has emphasized ties between Drazan and national Republican figures while Drazan highlights state-level challenges. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though some view it as competitive heading into October debates and the November 3 election. Market pricing appears to weigh structural Democratic advantages more heavily than the latest survey movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$47,691Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek holds a strong trader consensus edge in the 2026 Oregon governor race due to the state’s long Democratic voting patterns and her primary win with over 80% support. Recent September polling shows the contest tightening, with one survey giving Republican Christine Drazan a narrow 45-43% lead within the margin of error amid 59% disapproval of Kotek’s job performance and voter concerns over affordability, education, and homelessness. Kotek has emphasized ties between Drazan and national Republican figures while Drazan highlights state-level challenges. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though some view it as competitive heading into October debates and the November 3 election. Market pricing appears to weigh structural Democratic advantages more heavily than the latest survey movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,691Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek holds a strong trader consensus edge in the 2026 Oregon governor race due to the state’s long Democratic voting patterns and her primary win with over 80% support. Recent September polling shows the contest tightening, with one survey giving Republican Christine Drazan a narrow 45-43% lead within the margin of error amid 59% disapproval of Kotek’s job performance and voter concerns over affordability, education, and homelessness. Kotek has emphasized ties between Drazan and national Republican figures while Drazan highlights state-level challenges. Forecasters rate the race as Lean or Likely Democratic, though some view it as competitive heading into October debates and the November 3 election. Market pricing appears to weigh structural Democratic advantages more heavily than the latest survey movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes