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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

Marcelo Crivella 30.9%

Carlos Jordy 24%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Pedro Paulo 12.2%

Polymarket

$41,425 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 30.9%

Carlos Jordy 24%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Pedro Paulo 12.2%

Polymarket

$41,425 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$3,783 Vol.

31%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$7,502 Vol.

24%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$7,067 Vol.

16%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$6,831 Vol.

12%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,037 Vol.

6%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$1,948 Vol.

3%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,215 Vol.

1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,174 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$41,425
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$41,425
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Benedita da Silva obtiendra-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Benedita da Silva obtiendra-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

58%
Oui
icon for Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

33%
Oui
icon for Rafael Motta obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Rafael Motta obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

41%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marcelo Crivella » à 31%, suivi de « Carlos Jordy » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 31¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » a généré $41.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est « Marcelo Crivella » à 31%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carlos Jordy » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.