Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in the TX-06 general election on November 3, 2026, backed by the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his decisive primary victory with 66 percent of the vote, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared with Danny Minton’s limited resources. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Minton advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jake Ellzey (R)
96%
Danny Minton (D)
5%
$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jake Ellzey (R)
$25,764 Vol.
96%
Danny Minton (D)
$26,991 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in the TX-06 general election on November 3, 2026, backed by the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his decisive primary victory with 66 percent of the vote, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared with Danny Minton’s limited resources. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Minton advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$52,755Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in the TX-06 general election on November 3, 2026, backed by the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his decisive primary victory with 66 percent of the vote, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared with Danny Minton’s limited resources. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Minton advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,755Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in the TX-06 general election on November 3, 2026, backed by the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his decisive primary victory with 66 percent of the vote, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared with Danny Minton’s limited resources. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Minton advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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