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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35

Polymarket

$14,627 Vol.

Polymarket

$14,627 Vol.

Johnny Garcia (D)

$7,723 Vol.

61%

Carlos De La Cruz (R)

$6,904 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District southward into more Republican-leaning territory around San Antonio and adjacent counties, creating an open seat after incumbent Greg Casar relocated. Bexar County sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia secured the Democratic nomination by winning his May runoff, while Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz prevailed on the Republican side with backing from President Trump and House leadership. Traders assign Garcia a modest edge in the November 3 contest, viewing the race as closely competitive due to the district's Hispanic voter base, Garcia's law enforcement profile on border and public safety issues, and comparable fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as leaning or likely Republican, yet skin-in-the-game pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout and national conditions that could narrow or widen the margin.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,627
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District southward into more Republican-leaning territory around San Antonio and adjacent counties, creating an open seat after incumbent Greg Casar relocated. Bexar County sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia secured the Democratic nomination by winning his May runoff, while Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz prevailed on the Republican side with backing from President Trump and House leadership. Traders assign Garcia a modest edge in the November 3 contest, viewing the race as closely competitive due to the district's Hispanic voter base, Garcia's law enforcement profile on border and public safety issues, and comparable fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as leaning or likely Republican, yet skin-in-the-game pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout and national conditions that could narrow or widen the margin.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,627
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour le district TX-36 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour le district TX-36 ?

93%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre TX-34 ?

Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre TX-34 ?

76%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre du TX-33 ?

Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre du TX-33 ?

96%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Johnny Garcia (D) » à 61%, suivi de « Carlos De La Cruz (R) » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35 » a généré $14.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35 », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35 » est « Johnny Garcia (D) » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carlos De La Cruz (R) » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-35 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.