Elaine Luria leads the VA-02 race in trader pricing due to the district’s swing character, her strong Democratic primary performance, and national tailwinds favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Luria, who previously held the seat before losing narrowly to incumbent Jen Kiggans in 2022, secured the nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising, and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders. Recent activity includes Luria campaign ads targeting costs and Kiggans’ alignment with Trump policies, plus an $850,000+ ad buy from GIFFORDS PAC focused on gun safety. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 general election in the military-heavy Hampton Roads district, which multiple forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Independent candidates on the ballot add minor uncertainty but have not shifted the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$42,652 Vol.
$42,652 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Elaine Luria (D)
82%
Jen Kiggans (R)
18%
$42,652 Vol.
$42,652 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Elaine Luria (D)
$18,720 Vol.
82%
Jen Kiggans (R)
$24,094 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Elaine Luria leads the VA-02 race in trader pricing due to the district’s swing character, her strong Democratic primary performance, and national tailwinds favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Luria, who previously held the seat before losing narrowly to incumbent Jen Kiggans in 2022, secured the nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising, and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders. Recent activity includes Luria campaign ads targeting costs and Kiggans’ alignment with Trump policies, plus an $850,000+ ad buy from GIFFORDS PAC focused on gun safety. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 general election in the military-heavy Hampton Roads district, which multiple forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Independent candidates on the ballot add minor uncertainty but have not shifted the consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$42,652Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Elaine Luria leads the VA-02 race in trader pricing due to the district’s swing character, her strong Democratic primary performance, and national tailwinds favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Luria, who previously held the seat before losing narrowly to incumbent Jen Kiggans in 2022, secured the nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising, and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders. Recent activity includes Luria campaign ads targeting costs and Kiggans’ alignment with Trump policies, plus an $850,000+ ad buy from GIFFORDS PAC focused on gun safety. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 general election in the military-heavy Hampton Roads district, which multiple forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Independent candidates on the ballot add minor uncertainty but have not shifted the consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,652Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Luria leads the VA-02 race in trader pricing due to the district’s swing character, her strong Democratic primary performance, and national tailwinds favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Luria, who previously held the seat before losing narrowly to incumbent Jen Kiggans in 2022, secured the nomination with roughly 80 percent in the August 4 primary and benefits from unified party support, substantial fundraising, and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders. Recent activity includes Luria campaign ads targeting costs and Kiggans’ alignment with Trump policies, plus an $850,000+ ad buy from GIFFORDS PAC focused on gun safety. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 general election in the military-heavy Hampton Roads district, which multiple forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Independent candidates on the ballot add minor uncertainty but have not shifted the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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