Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. The district, centered on Richmond and extending into Southside Virginia, has seen both major-party primaries canceled or uncontested, leaving McClellan to face Republican Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and visibility. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural lean makes such changes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$41,681 Vol.
$41,681 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
97%
Robert Murray (R)
1%
$41,681 Vol.
$41,681 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
$12,217 Vol.
97%
Robert Murray (R)
$29,463 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. The district, centered on Richmond and extending into Southside Virginia, has seen both major-party primaries canceled or uncontested, leaving McClellan to face Republican Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and visibility. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural lean makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$41,681Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. The district, centered on Richmond and extending into Southside Virginia, has seen both major-party primaries canceled or uncontested, leaving McClellan to face Republican Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and visibility. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural lean makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,681Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. The district, centered on Richmond and extending into Southside Virginia, has seen both major-party primaries canceled or uncontested, leaving McClellan to face Republican Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and visibility. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural lean makes such changes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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