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icon for Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ?

Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ?

icon for Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ?

Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ?

NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$6,308 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre 2026

$3,987 Vol.

7%

31 décembre 2027

$900 Vol.

15%

31 décembre 2028

$1,421 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent announcements from OpenAI and mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge have sharply shifted focus to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, one of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Millennium Prize challenges. On September 8, 2026, OpenAI released a claimed proof—generated by thousands of internal AI agents and verified in Lean—showing finite-time singularity formation under smooth initial conditions with bounded energy, directly addressing the problem’s core question of whether solutions can break down. Concurrent work by Buckmaster and Alpöge advanced related Euler and Boussinesq cases using large language models but stopped short of the full three-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. CMI has not yet issued any statement, and its established process demands extended peer scrutiny and community consensus before declaring a solution, a timeline that historically spans years rather than days. Traders are weighing the strength of the formalization and potential counterexamples against CMI’s deliberate pace and the possibility of further refinements or disputes emerging in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Volume
$6,308
Date de fin
1 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent announcements from OpenAI and mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge have sharply shifted focus to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, one of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Millennium Prize challenges. On September 8, 2026, OpenAI released a claimed proof—generated by thousands of internal AI agents and verified in Lean—showing finite-time singularity formation under smooth initial conditions with bounded energy, directly addressing the problem’s core question of whether solutions can break down. Concurrent work by Buckmaster and Alpöge advanced related Euler and Boussinesq cases using large language models but stopped short of the full three-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. CMI has not yet issued any statement, and its established process demands extended peer scrutiny and community consensus before declaring a solution, a timeline that historically spans years rather than days. Traders are weighing the strength of the formalization and potential counterexamples against CMI’s deliberate pace and the possibility of further refinements or disputes emerging in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Volume
$6,308
Date de fin
1 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre 2028 » à 44%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2027 » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ? » est « 31 décembre 2028 » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre 2027 » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le CMI déclarera-t-il le problème de Navier-Stokes résolu par ___ ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.