OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Conjecture de Hodge
57%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
56%
Conjecture de Legendre
50%
Yang-Mills
50%
Conjecture de Collatz
50%
Forte conjecture de Goldbach
50%
Conjecture des nombres premiers jumeaux
50%
Nombre parfait impair
50%
Problème de Hadwiger-Nelson
50%
Conjecture de la matrice de Hadamard
50%
Conjecture de Beal
50%
Nombre de Ramsey R(5,5)
50%
Hypothèse de Riemann
50%
P contre NP
33%
$393 Vol.
Conjecture de Hodge
$315 Vol.
57%
Birch et Swinnerton-Dyer
$0 Vol.
56%
Conjecture de Legendre
$0 Vol.
50%
Yang-Mills
$0 Vol.
50%
Conjecture de Collatz
$0 Vol.
50%
Forte conjecture de Goldbach
$0 Vol.
50%
Conjecture des nombres premiers jumeaux
$0 Vol.
50%
Nombre parfait impair
$0 Vol.
50%
Problème de Hadwiger-Nelson
$0 Vol.
50%
Conjecture de la matrice de Hadamard
$0 Vol.
50%
Conjecture de Beal
$0 Vol.
50%
Nombre de Ramsey R(5,5)
$0 Vol.
50%
Hypothèse de Riemann
$0 Vol.
50%
P contre NP
$78 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$393Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$393Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that its unreleased Astra model and 10,000 AI agents solved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize questions—in 88 hours has sharply lifted trader expectations for additional major breakthroughs before year-end. This follows OpenAI’s August report of ten substantial advances across geometry, group theory, and combinatorics, plus Anthropic’s Claude-driven improvements to Riemann zeta function bounds and Google DeepMind’s ongoing IMO-level and research-agent work. Labs are rapidly scaling multi-agent systems and inference-time compute on open problems, though independent verification of formal proofs remains a key uncertainty. Traders are watching for further Millennium or Erdős-problem resolutions and competitive model releases that could shift implied probabilities on markets like the Riemann hypothesis or P versus NP.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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