US gasoline prices, currently hovering near $3.00–$3.50 per gallon amid WTI crude around $85 per barrel, face limited upside pressure into late September 2026 due to record domestic crude output, ample refinery capacity, and easing summer demand. Elevated inventories and stable Gulf Coast supply have capped volatility, while modest LNG export demand and recent weather-driven cooling needs provide only marginal support. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that a surge above key thresholds like $3.75–$4.00 remains unlikely absent a sharp crude spike or unexpected inventory draw, consistent with the EIA’s near-term energy outlook. Key near-term catalysts include the next weekly storage reports, any OPEC+ signals, and seasonal shifts as driving demand tapers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
48%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
55%
↓ $4.00
54%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
34%
$1 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ $4.20
$1 Vol.
55%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US gasoline prices, currently hovering near $3.00–$3.50 per gallon amid WTI crude around $85 per barrel, face limited upside pressure into late September 2026 due to record domestic crude output, ample refinery capacity, and easing summer demand. Elevated inventories and stable Gulf Coast supply have capped volatility, while modest LNG export demand and recent weather-driven cooling needs provide only marginal support. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that a surge above key thresholds like $3.75–$4.00 remains unlikely absent a sharp crude spike or unexpected inventory draw, consistent with the EIA’s near-term energy outlook. Key near-term catalysts include the next weekly storage reports, any OPEC+ signals, and seasonal shifts as driving demand tapers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US gasoline prices, currently hovering near $3.00–$3.50 per gallon amid WTI crude around $85 per barrel, face limited upside pressure into late September 2026 due to record domestic crude output, ample refinery capacity, and easing summer demand. Elevated inventories and stable Gulf Coast supply have capped volatility, while modest LNG export demand and recent weather-driven cooling needs provide only marginal support. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that a surge above key thresholds like $3.75–$4.00 remains unlikely absent a sharp crude spike or unexpected inventory draw, consistent with the EIA’s near-term energy outlook. Key near-term catalysts include the next weekly storage reports, any OPEC+ signals, and seasonal shifts as driving demand tapers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$1Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...US gasoline prices, currently hovering near $3.00–$3.50 per gallon amid WTI crude around $85 per barrel, face limited upside pressure into late September 2026 due to record domestic crude output, ample refinery capacity, and easing summer demand. Elevated inventories and stable Gulf Coast supply have capped volatility, while modest LNG export demand and recent weather-driven cooling needs provide only marginal support. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that a surge above key thresholds like $3.75–$4.00 remains unlikely absent a sharp crude spike or unexpected inventory draw, consistent with the EIA’s near-term energy outlook. Key near-term catalysts include the next weekly storage reports, any OPEC+ signals, and seasonal shifts as driving demand tapers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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