Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले एक और अमेरिकी ऋण डाउनग्रेड?
2027 से पहले एक और अमेरिकी ऋण डाउनग्रेड?
13% संभावना
$13,253 वॉल्यूम
$13,253 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
13% संभावना
$13,253 वॉल्यूम
$13,253 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,253समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$13,253समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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