Recent second-quarter U.S. real GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in Q1, has anchored trader consensus near 2% for full-year 2026, with the leading 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Resilient consumer spending, elevated business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and solid final sales to private domestic purchasers support the upper end of that range, while higher energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, persistent core PCE inflation near 3.3%, and tariff effects on trade weigh on the lower side. June FOMC median projections of 2.2% and private forecasts from S&P Global, U.S. Bank, and Deloitte at 2.0–2.1% reflect this balance, with Q3 nowcasts around 2.2% providing limited additional clarity ahead of September data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
1.5–2.0% 35.5%
2.0–2.5% 34%
>2.5% 18%
1.0–1.5% 8.3%
$58,669 वॉल्यूम
$58,669 वॉल्यूम
28 जन, 2027
<0.5%
4%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
8%
1.5–2.0%
36%
2.0–2.5%
34%
>2.5%
18%
1.5–2.0% 35.5%
2.0–2.5% 34%
>2.5% 18%
1.0–1.5% 8.3%
$58,669 वॉल्यूम
$58,669 वॉल्यूम
28 जन, 2027
<0.5%
$7,561 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.5–1.0%
$17,293 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.0–1.5%
$3,825 वॉल्यूम
8%
1.5–2.0%
$6,703 वॉल्यूम
36%
2.0–2.5%
$7,256 वॉल्यूम
34%
>2.5%
$16,031 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent second-quarter U.S. real GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in Q1, has anchored trader consensus near 2% for full-year 2026, with the leading 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Resilient consumer spending, elevated business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and solid final sales to private domestic purchasers support the upper end of that range, while higher energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, persistent core PCE inflation near 3.3%, and tariff effects on trade weigh on the lower side. June FOMC median projections of 2.2% and private forecasts from S&P Global, U.S. Bank, and Deloitte at 2.0–2.1% reflect this balance, with Q3 nowcasts around 2.2% providing limited additional clarity ahead of September data releases.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,669समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent second-quarter U.S. real GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in Q1, has anchored trader consensus near 2% for full-year 2026, with the leading 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Resilient consumer spending, elevated business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and solid final sales to private domestic purchasers support the upper end of that range, while higher energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, persistent core PCE inflation near 3.3%, and tariff effects on trade weigh on the lower side. June FOMC median projections of 2.2% and private forecasts from S&P Global, U.S. Bank, and Deloitte at 2.0–2.1% reflect this balance, with Q3 nowcasts around 2.2% providing limited additional clarity ahead of September data releases.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$58,669समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent second-quarter U.S. real GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in Q1, has anchored trader consensus near 2% for full-year 2026, with the leading 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% brackets nearly tied at 35.5% and 33.5% implied probability. Resilient consumer spending, elevated business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and solid final sales to private domestic purchasers support the upper end of that range, while higher energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, persistent core PCE inflation near 3.3%, and tariff effects on trade weigh on the lower side. June FOMC median projections of 2.2% and private forecasts from S&P Global, U.S. Bank, and Deloitte at 2.0–2.1% reflect this balance, with Q3 nowcasts around 2.2% providing limited additional clarity ahead of September data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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