Elevated inflation and resilient labor market conditions are the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment around Federal Reserve rate policy. With the target range held at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026, headline PCE inflation reached 4.1% and core 3.4% over the 12 months ending May, driven by energy supply shocks from Middle East developments. A stronger-than-expected August jobs report lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 56-64% across prediction platforms and futures. Officials have signaled focus on incoming inflation prints, with three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift the balance between holding steady or resuming hikes amid the dual mandate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,891,880 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
सितंबर बैठक
55%
अक्टूबर बैठक
65%
$2,891,880 वॉल्यूम
सितंबर बैठक
$1,307,324 वॉल्यूम
55%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$624,556 वॉल्यूम
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation and resilient labor market conditions are the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment around Federal Reserve rate policy. With the target range held at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026, headline PCE inflation reached 4.1% and core 3.4% over the 12 months ending May, driven by energy supply shocks from Middle East developments. A stronger-than-expected August jobs report lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 56-64% across prediction platforms and futures. Officials have signaled focus on incoming inflation prints, with three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift the balance between holding steady or resuming hikes amid the dual mandate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,891,880समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation and resilient labor market conditions are the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment around Federal Reserve rate policy. With the target range held at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026, headline PCE inflation reached 4.1% and core 3.4% over the 12 months ending May, driven by energy supply shocks from Middle East developments. A stronger-than-expected August jobs report lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 56-64% across prediction platforms and futures. Officials have signaled focus on incoming inflation prints, with three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift the balance between holding steady or resuming hikes amid the dual mandate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,891,880समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation and resilient labor market conditions are the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment around Federal Reserve rate policy. With the target range held at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026, headline PCE inflation reached 4.1% and core 3.4% over the 12 months ending May, driven by energy supply shocks from Middle East developments. A stronger-than-expected August jobs report lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to roughly 56-64% across prediction platforms and futures. Officials have signaled focus on incoming inflation prints, with three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift the balance between holding steady or resuming hikes amid the dual mandate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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