Recent economic data releases and evolving inflation trajectories are shaping trader sentiment around the September-to-December 2026 FOMC meetings, with the Pause-Pause-Pause path at 29.5% reflecting broad expectations for steady policy amid mixed signals. Labor market resilience, measured by unemployment rates and nonfarm payrolls, alongside core PCE inflation trends, remains the key swing factor distinguishing hike sequences from extended pauses. Stronger-than-expected growth or persistent price pressures could shift probabilities toward Hike-Pause-Pause or Hike-Hike-Pause outcomes, while cooling indicators would reinforce the current pause consensus. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of upcoming data prints and the Fed's policy communications, with no single path exceeding 30% as participants price in a data-dependent stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 30%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 15%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 13%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना 10.8%
$15,084 वॉल्यूम
$15,084 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
11%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
15%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
6%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
13%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम
30%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
11%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
8%
अन्य
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम 30%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 15%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 13%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना 10.8%
$15,084 वॉल्यूम
$15,084 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
$329 वॉल्यूम
11%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
$569 वॉल्यूम
15%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
$231 वॉल्यूम
6%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
$474 वॉल्यूम
13%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
$623 वॉल्यूम
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम
$11,754 वॉल्यूम
30%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
$364 वॉल्यूम
11%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
$446 वॉल्यूम
8%
अन्य
$294 वॉल्यूम
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent economic data releases and evolving inflation trajectories are shaping trader sentiment around the September-to-December 2026 FOMC meetings, with the Pause-Pause-Pause path at 29.5% reflecting broad expectations for steady policy amid mixed signals. Labor market resilience, measured by unemployment rates and nonfarm payrolls, alongside core PCE inflation trends, remains the key swing factor distinguishing hike sequences from extended pauses. Stronger-than-expected growth or persistent price pressures could shift probabilities toward Hike-Pause-Pause or Hike-Hike-Pause outcomes, while cooling indicators would reinforce the current pause consensus. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of upcoming data prints and the Fed's policy communications, with no single path exceeding 30% as participants price in a data-dependent stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,084समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent economic data releases and evolving inflation trajectories are shaping trader sentiment around the September-to-December 2026 FOMC meetings, with the Pause-Pause-Pause path at 29.5% reflecting broad expectations for steady policy amid mixed signals. Labor market resilience, measured by unemployment rates and nonfarm payrolls, alongside core PCE inflation trends, remains the key swing factor distinguishing hike sequences from extended pauses. Stronger-than-expected growth or persistent price pressures could shift probabilities toward Hike-Pause-Pause or Hike-Hike-Pause outcomes, while cooling indicators would reinforce the current pause consensus. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of upcoming data prints and the Fed's policy communications, with no single path exceeding 30% as participants price in a data-dependent stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$15,084समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data releases and evolving inflation trajectories are shaping trader sentiment around the September-to-December 2026 FOMC meetings, with the Pause-Pause-Pause path at 29.5% reflecting broad expectations for steady policy amid mixed signals. Labor market resilience, measured by unemployment rates and nonfarm payrolls, alongside core PCE inflation trends, remains the key swing factor distinguishing hike sequences from extended pauses. Stronger-than-expected growth or persistent price pressures could shift probabilities toward Hike-Pause-Pause or Hike-Hike-Pause outcomes, while cooling indicators would reinforce the current pause consensus. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of upcoming data prints and the Fed's policy communications, with no single path exceeding 30% as participants price in a data-dependent stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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