Lula's commanding lead in Maranhão's first-round presidential voting reflects sustained regional backing for the incumbent PT candidate in the Northeast, reinforced by recent Quaest polling showing 58% intentions against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits for others such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Government approval near 66% and high rates of vote certainty among respondents have anchored trader consensus near 96.5%. The October 4 first-round date leaves limited time for shifts, though late consolidation among right-leaning voters or unexpected turnout changes in a state with notable undecided shares could narrow the gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Lula 96.3%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$11,394 Vol.
$11,394 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Lula 96.3%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$11,394 Vol.
$11,394 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,944 Vol.
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$629 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$557 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$477 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$505 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$587 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$587 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$533 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$505 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$475 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$587 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$587 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding lead in Maranhão's first-round presidential voting reflects sustained regional backing for the incumbent PT candidate in the Northeast, reinforced by recent Quaest polling showing 58% intentions against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits for others such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Government approval near 66% and high rates of vote certainty among respondents have anchored trader consensus near 96.5%. The October 4 first-round date leaves limited time for shifts, though late consolidation among right-leaning voters or unexpected turnout changes in a state with notable undecided shares could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,394Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding lead in Maranhão's first-round presidential voting reflects sustained regional backing for the incumbent PT candidate in the Northeast, reinforced by recent Quaest polling showing 58% intentions against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits for others such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Government approval near 66% and high rates of vote certainty among respondents have anchored trader consensus near 96.5%. The October 4 first-round date leaves limited time for shifts, though late consolidation among right-leaning voters or unexpected turnout changes in a state with notable undecided shares could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$11,394Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding lead in Maranhão's first-round presidential voting reflects sustained regional backing for the incumbent PT candidate in the Northeast, reinforced by recent Quaest polling showing 58% intentions against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits for others such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Government approval near 66% and high rates of vote certainty among respondents have anchored trader consensus near 96.5%. The October 4 first-round date leaves limited time for shifts, though late consolidation among right-leaning voters or unexpected turnout changes in a state with notable undecided shares could narrow the gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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