Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
11%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 18%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 7.0%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
18%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
11%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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