Recent polls after party conventions have positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote, with consistent leads of 8–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in surveys from Datafolha, Ipsos/Ipec, and Quaest, though one Real Time Big Data poll showed a technical tie. Ciro benefits from lower rejection rates, stronger support among men, younger voters, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration, plus an alliance with the PL that broadens his base. Elmano maintains backing within the PT coalition but faces challenges from voter fatigue after multiple left-leaning terms. Minor candidates remain marginal in all measurements. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around Ciro as the leading outcome ahead of the first-round ballot and possible runoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$201,469 Vol.
$201,469 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
32%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
Eduardo Girão <1%
$201,469 Vol.
$201,469 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$93,294 Vol.
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$38,659 Vol.
32%
Roberto Cláudio
$16,661 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls after party conventions have positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote, with consistent leads of 8–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in surveys from Datafolha, Ipsos/Ipec, and Quaest, though one Real Time Big Data poll showed a technical tie. Ciro benefits from lower rejection rates, stronger support among men, younger voters, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration, plus an alliance with the PL that broadens his base. Elmano maintains backing within the PT coalition but faces challenges from voter fatigue after multiple left-leaning terms. Minor candidates remain marginal in all measurements. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around Ciro as the leading outcome ahead of the first-round ballot and possible runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$201,469Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls after party conventions have positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote, with consistent leads of 8–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in surveys from Datafolha, Ipsos/Ipec, and Quaest, though one Real Time Big Data poll showed a technical tie. Ciro benefits from lower rejection rates, stronger support among men, younger voters, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration, plus an alliance with the PL that broadens his base. Elmano maintains backing within the PT coalition but faces challenges from voter fatigue after multiple left-leaning terms. Minor candidates remain marginal in all measurements. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around Ciro as the leading outcome ahead of the first-round ballot and possible runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$201,469Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls after party conventions have positioned Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the frontrunner in the October 4 first-round vote, with consistent leads of 8–19 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in surveys from Datafolha, Ipsos/Ipec, and Quaest, though one Real Time Big Data poll showed a technical tie. Ciro benefits from lower rejection rates, stronger support among men, younger voters, evangelicals, and those dissatisfied with the current administration, plus an alliance with the PL that broadens his base. Elmano maintains backing within the PT coalition but faces challenges from voter fatigue after multiple left-leaning terms. Minor candidates remain marginal in all measurements. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around Ciro as the leading outcome ahead of the first-round ballot and possible runoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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