Mike Simpson's commanding position in the Idaho 2nd District race stems from his long incumbency since 1999, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles, and the district's strong Republican lean across eastern and rural areas including parts of the Boise metro. He secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent against two challengers, while Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced with limited resources. Simpson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to her roughly $107,000 through mid-2026, alongside endorsements from business groups and established PAC support. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, major national events altering local priorities, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,499 Vol.
$34,499 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
6%
$34,499 Vol.
$34,499 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
$14,241 Vol.
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
$20,258 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Simpson's commanding position in the Idaho 2nd District race stems from his long incumbency since 1999, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles, and the district's strong Republican lean across eastern and rural areas including parts of the Boise metro. He secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent against two challengers, while Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced with limited resources. Simpson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to her roughly $107,000 through mid-2026, alongside endorsements from business groups and established PAC support. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, major national events altering local priorities, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$34,499Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Simpson's commanding position in the Idaho 2nd District race stems from his long incumbency since 1999, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles, and the district's strong Republican lean across eastern and rural areas including parts of the Boise metro. He secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent against two challengers, while Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced with limited resources. Simpson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to her roughly $107,000 through mid-2026, alongside endorsements from business groups and established PAC support. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, major national events altering local priorities, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,499Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Simpson's commanding position in the Idaho 2nd District race stems from his long incumbency since 1999, consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles, and the district's strong Republican lean across eastern and rural areas including parts of the Boise metro. He secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent against two challengers, while Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced with limited resources. Simpson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to her roughly $107,000 through mid-2026, alongside endorsements from business groups and established PAC support. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, major national events altering local priorities, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
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