Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has historically carried the district by wide margins, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher leading Democrat Kaylee Peterson by double digits, with the remainder split among minor candidates and undecided voters. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Fulcher’s incumbency advantages and Peterson’s repeat candidacy, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only under low-probability scenarios such as a major late scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a presidential midterm cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Russ Fulcher (R)
95%
Kaylee Peterson (D)
5%
$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Russ Fulcher (R)
$32,566 Vol.
95%
Kaylee Peterson (D)
$15,643 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has historically carried the district by wide margins, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher leading Democrat Kaylee Peterson by double digits, with the remainder split among minor candidates and undecided voters. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Fulcher’s incumbency advantages and Peterson’s repeat candidacy, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only under low-probability scenarios such as a major late scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a presidential midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,209Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has historically carried the district by wide margins, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher leading Democrat Kaylee Peterson by double digits, with the remainder split among minor candidates and undecided voters. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Fulcher’s incumbency advantages and Peterson’s repeat candidacy, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only under low-probability scenarios such as a major late scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a presidential midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,209Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has historically carried the district by wide margins, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher leading Democrat Kaylee Peterson by double digits, with the remainder split among minor candidates and undecided voters. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Fulcher’s incumbency advantages and Peterson’s repeat candidacy, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A November 3 general election outcome could shift only under low-probability scenarios such as a major late scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a presidential midterm cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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