Incumbent Republican Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Miller secured her party's nomination decisively in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Jennifer Todd's limited resources. Todd, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary, faces structural barriers in this rural and agricultural district spanning central and southern Illinois. Election forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or broader national shift could alter dynamics before the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the incumbent.
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IL-15 House Election Winner
$38,389 Vol.
$38,389 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Miller (R)
96%
Jennifer Todd (D)
6%
$38,389 Vol.
$38,389 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Miller (R)
$19,709 Vol.
96%
Jennifer Todd (D)
$18,681 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Miller secured her party's nomination decisively in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Jennifer Todd's limited resources. Todd, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary, faces structural barriers in this rural and agricultural district spanning central and southern Illinois. Election forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or broader national shift could alter dynamics before the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$38,389Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Miller secured her party's nomination decisively in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Jennifer Todd's limited resources. Todd, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary, faces structural barriers in this rural and agricultural district spanning central and southern Illinois. Election forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or broader national shift could alter dynamics before the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,389Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Miller secured her party's nomination decisively in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with hundreds of thousands in cash on hand compared to challenger Jennifer Todd's limited resources. Todd, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary, faces structural barriers in this rural and agricultural district spanning central and southern Illinois. Election forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or broader national shift could alter dynamics before the November 3 general election, though current trader consensus aligns with historical patterns favoring the incumbent.
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