Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his incumbency since 2023, and established name recognition in a rural northern Illinois district that has favored Republicans for decades. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing LaHood’s unopposed 2024 reelection, easy primary win in March 2026, and substantial fundraising edge—over $3 million raised with millions in cash on hand versus Nolley’s far smaller totals. Nolley, the Democratic nominee and nonprofit executive, has campaigned on economic and workforce issues but faces structural barriers in the district. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though a national midterm wave, late-cycle scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$38,992 Vol.
$38,992 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
7%
$38,992 Vol.
$38,992 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
$15,407 Vol.
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
$23,585 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his incumbency since 2023, and established name recognition in a rural northern Illinois district that has favored Republicans for decades. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing LaHood’s unopposed 2024 reelection, easy primary win in March 2026, and substantial fundraising edge—over $3 million raised with millions in cash on hand versus Nolley’s far smaller totals. Nolley, the Democratic nominee and nonprofit executive, has campaigned on economic and workforce issues but faces structural barriers in the district. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though a national midterm wave, late-cycle scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$38,992Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his incumbency since 2023, and established name recognition in a rural northern Illinois district that has favored Republicans for decades. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing LaHood’s unopposed 2024 reelection, easy primary win in March 2026, and substantial fundraising edge—over $3 million raised with millions in cash on hand versus Nolley’s far smaller totals. Nolley, the Democratic nominee and nonprofit executive, has campaigned on economic and workforce issues but faces structural barriers in the district. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though a national midterm wave, late-cycle scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,992Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his incumbency since 2023, and established name recognition in a rural northern Illinois district that has favored Republicans for decades. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing LaHood’s unopposed 2024 reelection, easy primary win in March 2026, and substantial fundraising edge—over $3 million raised with millions in cash on hand versus Nolley’s far smaller totals. Nolley, the Democratic nominee and nonprofit executive, has campaigned on economic and workforce issues but faces structural barriers in the district. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though a national midterm wave, late-cycle scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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