Anthropic's Claude models, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, currently anchor the top of the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong results on competition-style problems and human preference votes, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic. This leaves a tight contest for third place among Google Gemini, Alibaba Qwen, Z.ai GLM, Moonshot Kimi, and OpenAI GPT-5 series entries, where recent iterative releases have produced narrow score gaps of just a few points amid ongoing model updates. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds showing closely matched probabilities driven by competitive positioning in large language model capabilities, benchmark volatility, and the potential for new releases or fine-tunes to shift lab rankings before October 31. Upcoming developer conferences and capability demonstrations could serve as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Alibaba 29%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9%
Meituan 8.0%
$26,389 Vol.
$26,389 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
29%
15%
OpenAI
9%
Meituan
8%
Z.ai
7%
Nvidia
6%
Moonshot
4%
Anthropic
3%
Baidu
2%
Meta
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Bytedance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 29%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9%
Meituan 8.0%
$26,389 Vol.
$26,389 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
$9,785 Vol.
29%
$8,289 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$918 Vol.
9%
Meituan
$778 Vol.
8%
Z.ai
$729 Vol.
7%
Nvidia
$616 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$551 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$368 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$412 Vol.
2%
Meta
$347 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$364 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$347 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$389 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$348 Vol.
1%
Bytedance
$431 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$329 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$399 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$414 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$302 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, currently anchor the top of the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong results on competition-style problems and human preference votes, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic. This leaves a tight contest for third place among Google Gemini, Alibaba Qwen, Z.ai GLM, Moonshot Kimi, and OpenAI GPT-5 series entries, where recent iterative releases have produced narrow score gaps of just a few points amid ongoing model updates. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds showing closely matched probabilities driven by competitive positioning in large language model capabilities, benchmark volatility, and the potential for new releases or fine-tunes to shift lab rankings before October 31. Upcoming developer conferences and capability demonstrations could serve as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,389Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, currently anchor the top of the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong results on competition-style problems and human preference votes, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic. This leaves a tight contest for third place among Google Gemini, Alibaba Qwen, Z.ai GLM, Moonshot Kimi, and OpenAI GPT-5 series entries, where recent iterative releases have produced narrow score gaps of just a few points amid ongoing model updates. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds showing closely matched probabilities driven by competitive positioning in large language model capabilities, benchmark volatility, and the potential for new releases or fine-tunes to shift lab rankings before October 31. Upcoming developer conferences and capability demonstrations could serve as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,389Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude models, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus variants, currently anchor the top of the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through strong results on competition-style problems and human preference votes, creating a clear frontrunner dynamic. This leaves a tight contest for third place among Google Gemini, Alibaba Qwen, Z.ai GLM, Moonshot Kimi, and OpenAI GPT-5 series entries, where recent iterative releases have produced narrow score gaps of just a few points amid ongoing model updates. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds showing closely matched probabilities driven by competitive positioning in large language model capabilities, benchmark volatility, and the potential for new releases or fine-tunes to shift lab rankings before October 31. Upcoming developer conferences and capability demonstrations could serve as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan