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icon for Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?
Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

icon for Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?
Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$758,664 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$758,664 Vol.

Polymarket
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Belgia

$79,101 Vol.

19%

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Italia

$27,850 Vol.

15%

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Belanda

$62,492 Vol.

12%

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New Zealand

$124,487 Vol.

9%

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Japan

$48,986 Vol.

7%

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Finlandia

$38,545 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$130,083 Vol.

5%

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Yunani

$46,785 Vol.

4%

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Austria

$173,410 Vol.

4%

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United States

$26,627 Vol.

4%

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Israel

$297 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The September 2025 UN General Assembly wave, coordinated in part through the French-Saudi New York Declaration and conference, produced formal recognitions by multiple Western states including France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and Portugal, bringing the total above 157 UN members.** Several announcements carried conditions tied to Palestinian Authority governance reforms, exclusion of Hamas from future structures, hostage releases, and demilitarization. As of mid-2026, Belgium has begun formal steps following reported shifts in Hamas’s Gaza role, while scheduled Palestinian legislative elections in November 2026 and presidential elections in 2027 represent potential catalysts for remaining European and G7 holdouts. Trader sentiment centers on whether these timelines and reform milestones prompt additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a two-state outcome.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The September 2025 UN General Assembly wave, coordinated in part through the French-Saudi New York Declaration and conference, produced formal recognitions by multiple Western states including France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and Portugal, bringing the total above 157 UN members.** Several announcements carried conditions tied to Palestinian Authority governance reforms, exclusion of Hamas from future structures, hostage releases, and demilitarization. As of mid-2026, Belgium has begun formal steps following reported shifts in Hamas’s Gaza role, while scheduled Palestinian legislative elections in November 2026 and presidential elections in 2027 represent potential catalysts for remaining European and G7 holdouts. Trader sentiment centers on whether these timelines and reform milestones prompt additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a two-state outcome.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

9%
icon for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

6%
icon for Apakah Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Apakah Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

11%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belgia" di 19%, diikuti oleh "Italia" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 19¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $758.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah "Belgia" di 19%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Italia" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.